Articles
Eye On The Tiger
“The language of the mob was only the language of public opinion cleansed of hypocrisy and restraint”. – Hannah Arendt
“Uthao lungi aur bajao pungi” – Bal Thackeray’s slogan attacking South Indians working in Mumbai (then Bombay) when he formed Shiv Sena in 1966
When Mumbai brought Bombay to a halt this week following the news about Bal Thackeray’s critical health condition, it reminded everyone about how nativist identity politics matter in Maharashtra’s capital. As Shiv Sena party workers and supporters, political heavyweights and the rich and famous made a beeline to call on the ailing Matoshree patriarch, the mainstream liberal intelligentsia might be wondering again about the appeal of Balasaheb Thackeray. He had always been a startling note in the symphony of Mumbai’s imagined liberal cosmopolitanism, and he had been so from his first profession. When political cartooning in India was generally Centrist and occasionally Leftist in its caricatures and tone, Balasaheb brought a Right-Wing political slant and satire to his cartoons as well as writings.
And when opposition political space in the city was becoming a stronghold of Left-leaning trade unions, he countered the trade unionism in the late Sixties with a vitriolic dose of parochialism, and altered the terms of political discourse in the city (interestingly, there is a view that it was Congress’ ploy to use him against Communist trade unions in the city). Making identity politics feasible and rewarding in the city would perhaps define his political legacy in the city. It’s a phenomenon which confounds the liberal school, and that’s why Ramachandra Guha has remarked in his work India After Gandhi:
“Thackeray lampooned dhoti-clad Madrasis, while his followers attacked Udupi restaurants and homes of Tamil and Telugu speakers. Another target were the communists, whose control of the city’s textile unions the Shiv Sena sought to undermine by making deals with the management. In this most cosmopolitan of cities, a nativist agenda proved surprisingly successful, being especially attractive to the educated unemployed”.
It’s also remarkable to note that there are some well-argued doubts about the pan-Maharashtra appeal of the Shiv Sena party beyond the tag of being a Mumbai-centric party, and more particularly about its ability to penetrate rural Maharashtra (the tag of being an urban voter-based party which somehow managed to form a state government in alliance with BJP in 1995, its most significant success till date). But, to know how the space lying vacant because of Balasaheb’s withdrawal from active politics is going to witness shifting sands of politics, we need to have a look at how the Shiv Sena was doing, in the demographical and territorial configuration of its support base, when Balasaheb was in his political prime (for analytical purposes, it can be taken as 1966-99).
In this context, it’s relevant to recall the study done by eminent political scientist and keen observer of Maharashtra politics, Professor Suhas Palshikar in his work Shiv Sena: An Assessment (published by University of Pune Press, Department of Politics and Public Administration). He has also engaged with this theme and provided some statistical observations in his article, Shiv Sena: A Tiger with Many Faces? (Economic and Political Weekly, April 3, 2004). Some of his key statistical findings can be seen in these tables:
Shiv Sena – Lok Sabha Elections
Year | SeatsContested | SeatsWon | Votes(%) |
1971 | 3 | — | NA |
1985 | 2 | — | NA |
1989 | 6 | 4 | 10.2** |
1991 | 17 | 4 | 9.5 |
1996 | 20 | 15 | 16.8 |
1998 | 22 | 6 | 19.7 |
1999 | 22 | 15 | 16.9 |
Shiv Sena – State Assembly Elections
Year | SeatsContested | SeatsWon | Votes(%) |
1972 | 26 | 1 | 1.8 |
1978 | 35 | — | 1.8 |
1985 | 33 | 1 | 2.0 |
1990 | 183 | 52 | 15.9 |
1995 | 169 | 73 | 16.4 |
1999 | 161 | 69 | 17.3 |
Notes: 1. Did not contest the elections in 1977-78 and 1980
2. Till 1990, Reports of the EC mention Sena candidates as Independents
Shiv Sena – Region-wise performance in the Lok Sabha Elections in the Nineties
1991 | 1996 | 1998 | 1999 | |
Mumbai | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Konkan | — | 3 | 3 | 3 |
N. Maharashtra | — | 1 | — | 1 |
Vidarbh | — | 3 | — | 4 |
Marathwada | 3 | 4 | — | 4 |
W. Maharashtra | — | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Shiv Sena – Region-wise Distribution of Sena MLAs: 1990-1999
1990 | 1995 | 1999 | TotalSeats | |
Mumbai | 15 | 18 | 11 | 34 |
Konkan | 11 | 15 | 15 | 31 |
N. Maharashtra | 2 | 5 | 10 | 36 |
Vidarbh | 9 | 11 | 8 | 66 |
Marathwada | 11 | 15 | 16 | 46 |
W. Maharashtra | 4 | 9 | 9 | 75 |
Total | 52 | 73 | 69 | 288 |
Party Preference among various Social Sections: 1999
Party Preference among Caste\Community groups: 1996
Caste\Community | Congress | Shiv Sena | BJP |
S. C. | 27.7 | 8.3 | 8.3 |
S.T. | 37.2 | 3.7 | 18.5 |
OBC (non-Kunbi) | 37.2 | 25.5 | 15.6 |
Kunbi | 26.0 | 34.1 | 13.8 |
Maratha | 37.8 | 36.0 | 4.3 |
Muslim | 56.0 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
Other | 38.2 | 12.0 | 16.1 |
Caste Composition of Voters of main Parties: 1996 and 1999
(Column percentages) Caste Group | Cong. 96 | Cong. 99 | SS 96 | SS 99 | NCP 99 | BJP 96 | BJP 99 |
Maratha | 20.5 | 19.6 | 30.4 | 30.5 | 31.5 | 6.3 | 19.0 |
Kunbi | 10.6 | 7.1 | 21.6 | 20.0 | 16.0 | 15.3 | 13.7 |
OBC (non-Kunbi) | 28.4 | 21.4 | 30.4 | 34.0 | 20.0 | 32.4 | 32.7 |
S. C. | 6.6 | 15.4 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 8.2 | 5.4 | 2.0 |
S. T. | 6.6 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.1 | 9.0 | 5.2 |
Other | 27.7 | 28.9 | 13.4 | 10.5 | 20.2 | 31.5 | 27.5 |
(Source: Shiv Sena: A Tiger with Many Faces? by Suhas Palshikar, Economic and Political Weekly, April 3, 2004)
The party has not returned to power in Maharashtra since 1999, and its presence in Parliament has also declined considerably since then.
These findings have to be the backdrop against which the absence of Balasaheb from the political space of Maharashtra has to be looked into. The retreat of Balasaheb from active politics also coincided with a family political succession to his son (and to some extent, to grandson too) and of course, the family revolt staged by his nephew Raj in the form of a new political party, Maharashtra Navnirman Sena MNS. A party which is making the Mumbai turf war tougher for Shiv Sena using Balasaheb’s own dose of xenophobic tirade, though directing it against UP-Bihar migrants in place of Balasaheb’s punching bag – the South Indians. Historian Ramachandra Guha has found a hypocritical streak in the Shiv Sena succession story, as he observes:
“For all his professed commitment to Maharashtrian pride and Hindu nationalism, when picking the next Shiv Sena leader Bal Thackeray could look no further than his son Uddav”.
A box capsule in Mail Today has sought to compress the unfolding political battles in the state as a four-cornered contest with no clear frontrunners.
(Source: Mail Today, November 16, 2012)
As an unsettling figure for the liberal democrat’s quest for rational authority premised, Balasaheb fit into Weber’s explanation of charisma as the basis for authority in some societies and times. And his son’s succession vindicates another Weberian source from which authority is derived – tradition. These are the complexities of the pluralities which experiments with liberal democracy can throw up in third world societies (which by no means suggest that first world democracies are immune to it). The terrain of competitive identity politics and its rhetoric is as much a reality-check for votaries of liberal democracy, as India’s dehumanising poverty and economic disparities are for free market fanatics.
Image By – Satish Acharya for www.sify.com
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